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Bitcoin forms bullish wedge pattern, potential rally to $126K

Technical Pattern Suggests Bitcoin Recovery

Bitcoin’s recent price action might be forming what technical analysts call a falling wedge pattern. This is interesting because, historically, this pattern has often preceded upward price movements. The cryptocurrency dropped from its October high of $126,000 to around $106,000 recently, which understandably made some investors nervous.

But looking at the chart structure, the decline appears to be forming these converging downward trendlines that typically indicate selling pressure is easing. The price seems to be consolidating in a tighter range, which is characteristic of this pattern. It’s not a guarantee, but it’s worth noting that similar formations have led to bullish breakouts in the past.

Key Levels to Watch

The upper boundary of this wedge pattern sits around $106,000 to $107,000. If Bitcoin can push through that resistance level with conviction, it might confirm the pattern’s breakout. That could potentially open the door for a move back toward the $126,000 level, and perhaps even beyond to new highs.

What makes this setup somewhat compelling is that there are signs of renewed buying interest in both spot markets and U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs. I’ve noticed increased trading volume and institutional flows that suggest demand might be picking up again. Still, it’s important to remember that patterns don’t always play out as expected.

Risk Factors Remain

While the falling wedge looks promising, traders should remain cautious. These patterns can and do fail sometimes. The $100,000 level appears to be significant support based on on-chain data, and a sustained break below that could trigger further selling pressure.

If Bitcoin were to drop below $100,000 and stay there, the next support area might be around $90,000. That’s why it’s crucial to monitor both price action and trading volume closely. Volume confirmation during any breakout attempt would add credibility to the pattern.

I think the key takeaway here is that despite the recent pullback, Bitcoin’s technical structure hasn’t completely broken down. The formation of this wedge pattern suggests the correction might be nearing its end, but we’ll need to see how price behaves around these critical levels in the coming days.

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